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League Analysis
Luck Lab
How often each team’s real weekly scores would have produced wins, seeds, playoff berths, and titles under 10,000 alternate schedules.
Each trial keeps every weekly score fixed, redraws the regular-season schedule, applies ESPN's points-for tiebreaker, and replays that season's playoff format. Alternate-schedule title rate is the share of those schedule worlds won by each owner; it is not a predictive betting probability.
From 2008–2010, eight of ten teams made the playoffs. Schedule order therefore had less effect on postseason qualification than it did in later seasons.
Career: Alternate-Schedule Titles vs. Actual
Alternate-schedule title equity sums each owner's season rates. Title delta is actual championships minus that schedule-neutral benchmark.
Best Misses & Long-Shot Champions
The highest alternate-schedule title rates among non-champions and the lowest rates among champions.
Highest Title Odds, No Championship
Highest simulated title odds among seasons that didn't end in a championship.
Lowest-Odds Champions
Championship seasons with the lowest simulated title odds.
Season by Season
Worst-record odds estimate the chance of finishing last in the regular season. The Mundane Randy consolation bracket is not simulated.
202512 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| JackChampion | 48.6% | 48.6% | 98.1% | 0.0% | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 | 2.1 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Matt | 28.2% | 84.6% | 95.9% | <0.1% | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 | 2.8 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Shaun | 22.7% | 27.5% | 73.1% | <0.1% | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 | 5.4 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Marco | 0.4% | 26.7% | 78.7% | 0.3% | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 | 4.9 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Randy | <0.1% | <0.1% | 2.6% | 37.9% | 4.2 | 9 | +4.8 | 10.6 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Chester | <0.1% | 7.2% | 63.3% | 0.8% | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 | 5.8 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Joe | 0.0% | 1.3% | 25.5% | 0.7% | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 | 7.6 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Nate | 0.0% | <0.1% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | 8.6 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Pat | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.8% | 37.8% | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 | 10.6 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Pookie | 0.0% | 4.0% | 95.4% | 0.0% | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 | 3.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Vinny | 0.0% | <0.1% | 48.4% | 0.8% | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 | 6.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| WormMundane Randy | 0.0% | <0.1% | 3.4% | 17.8% | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 | 10.1 | 11 | -0.9 |
202412 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| RandyChampion | 48.5% | 70.8% | 99.0% | 0.0% | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 | 1.9 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Worm | 20.1% | 20.2% | 98.0% | 0.0% | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Chester | 18.1% | 18.1% | 97.7% | 0.0% | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 | 2.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Jack | 11.0% | 61.0% | 61.0% | 0.8% | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 | 6.1 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Marco | 2.0% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 | 9.4 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Vinny | 0.3% | 0.9% | 72.5% | 0.2% | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 | 5.4 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Pat | <0.1% | 20.8% | 81.7% | 0.3% | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 | 4.9 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Joe | 0.0% | <0.1% | 0.2% | 53.0% | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 | 11.2 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Matt | 0.0% | 6.1% | 23.5% | 1.9% | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 | 7.7 | 7 | +0.7 |
| NateMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Pookie | 0.0% | <0.1% | 47.5% | 2.7% | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 | 6.7 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Shaun | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 24.8% | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 | 10.1 | 10 | +0.1 |
202312 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| MattChampion | 60.3% | 60.3% | 96.4% | <0.1% | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 | 2.6 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Shaun | 39.5% | 91.8% | 98.9% | 0.0% | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Joe | 0.1% | 33.2% | 96.4% | 0.0% | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 | 3.1 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Randy | <0.1% | 1.5% | 18.7% | 3.8% | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 | 8.4 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Chester | <0.1% | 5.3% | 76.1% | 0.3% | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 | 5.1 | 6 | -0.9 |
| NateMundane Randy | <0.1% | 0.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Jack | 0.0% | 1.4% | 66.3% | 0.3% | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 | 5.8 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Marco | 0.0% | <0.1% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 | 10.1 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Pat | 0.0% | 0.6% | 51.0% | 0.7% | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 | 6.5 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Pookie | 0.0% | <0.1% | 0.1% | 77.8% | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 | 11.7 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Vinny | 0.0% | 5.5% | 44.3% | 1.1% | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Worm | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.8% | 1.1% | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 | 7.1 | 11 | -3.9 |
202212 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| Pat | 25.9% | 31.4% | 96.3% | <0.1% | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| ChesterChampion | 25.1% | 51.0% | 51.0% | 1.1% | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 | 6.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Worm | 22.4% | 22.4% | 59.3% | 0.8% | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 | 6.1 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Jack | 11.7% | 12.5% | 49.4% | 2.4% | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 | 6.7 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Nate | 8.8% | 9.8% | 23.7% | 2.8% | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 | 8.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Pookie | 5.3% | 63.7% | 99.7% | 0.0% | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 | 1.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Vinny | 0.8% | 0.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | 9.4 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Joe | 0.0% | <0.1% | 2.6% | 39.6% | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 | 10.7 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Marco | 0.0% | 6.9% | 47.0% | 0.6% | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 | 6.6 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Matt | 0.0% | 1.1% | 88.7% | 0.2% | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 | 3.8 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Randy | 0.0% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 39.8% | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 | 10.8 | 12 | -1.2 |
| ShaunMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 70.3% | 0.4% | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 | 5.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
202112 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| Marco | 32.1% | 33.3% | 92.1% | <0.1% | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 | 3.4 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Randy | 28.5% | 39.1% | 91.0% | <0.1% | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 | 3.6 | 5 | -1.4 |
| JoeChampion | 19.4% | 43.1% | 47.0% | 0.8% | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 | 6.5 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Jack | 8.5% | 8.5% | 98.0% | 0.0% | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 | 2.1 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Shaun | 6.1% | 19.0% | 36.6% | 1.6% | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 | 7.2 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Chester | 4.8% | 34.8% | 79.1% | 0.2% | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 | 4.7 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Nate | 0.5% | 0.9% | 88.4% | <0.1% | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 | 4.1 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Worm | <0.1% | 21.1% | 45.0% | 1.0% | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 | 6.7 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Matt | 0.0% | <0.1% | 0.4% | 53.0% | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 | 11.2 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Pat | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 1.0% | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 | 8.3 | 11 | -2.7 |
| PookieMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | 9.8 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Vinny | 0.0% | 0.2% | 3.4% | 27.0% | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 | 10.4 | 12 | -1.6 |
202012 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| ShaunChampion | 60.4% | 60.5% | 75.6% | 0.3% | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 | 4.9 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Marco | 14.0% | 29.6% | 88.6% | 0.2% | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 | 3.3 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Nate | 7.3% | 23.6% | 51.3% | 3.9% | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 | 6.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Randy | 6.6% | 12.2% | 99.1% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Matt | 4.0% | 11.6% | 35.8% | 3.1% | 6.3 | 8 | +1.7 | 7.4 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Jack | 2.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 45.3% | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 | 10.4 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Pat | 2.6% | 22.0% | 31.7% | 7.4% | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Vinny | 1.6% | 8.8% | 58.7% | 1.6% | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 | 5.9 | 9 | -3.1 |
| JoeMundane Randy | 0.5% | 1.2% | 58.4% | 1.5% | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 | 6.0 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Pookie | 0.3% | 0.3% | 41.3% | 5.9% | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 | 7.1 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Chester | 0.0% | 23.6% | 43.2% | 2.9% | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 | 6.9 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Mike | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 27.8% | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 | 10.1 | 6 | +4.1 |
201912 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| MattChampion | 67.3% | 92.9% | 99.7% | 0.0% | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 | 1.4 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Pookie | 19.7% | 19.7% | 84.5% | <0.1% | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 | 4.0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Joe | 7.8% | 8.2% | 34.6% | 1.3% | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 | 7.4 | 10 | -2.6 |
| Jack | 2.5% | 37.4% | 85.7% | <0.1% | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 | 3.7 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Vinny | 2.1% | 2.2% | 54.1% | 0.4% | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 | 6.2 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Pat | 0.4% | 6.8% | 65.0% | 0.2% | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 | 5.6 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Shaun | 0.2% | 0.2% | 20.9% | 0.9% | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 | 8.1 | 5 | +3.1 |
| ChesterMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 38.5% | 0.5% | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 | 7.1 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Marco | 0.0% | 0.0% | <0.1% | 78.2% | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 | 11.7 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Mike | 0.0% | <0.1% | 60.2% | 0.2% | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 | 5.8 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Nate | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 17.9% | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 | 10.7 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Randy | 0.0% | 32.6% | 55.2% | 0.3% | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 | 6.1 | 9 | -2.9 |
201812 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| NateChampion | 94.8% | 94.8% | 99.8% | 0.0% | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 | 1.6 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Matt | 4.8% | 64.9% | 97.6% | 0.0% | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 | 2.8 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Jack | 0.3% | 17.5% | 72.4% | <0.1% | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 | 5.3 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Pookie | <0.1% | 3.9% | 20.6% | 1.7% | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | 7.8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Randy | <0.1% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 | 9.4 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Pat | <0.1% | 5.2% | 44.4% | 0.5% | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 | 6.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Chester | <0.1% | 5.7% | 71.9% | 0.1% | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 | 5.4 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Joe | 0.0% | 7.0% | 89.4% | 0.0% | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 | 4.6 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Marco | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 32.5% | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 | 10.8 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Mike | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 54.4% | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 | 11.2 | 12 | -0.8 |
| Shaun | 0.0% | 0.2% | 96.6% | 0.0% | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 | 3.2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| VinnyMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 | 9.3 | 9 | +0.3 |
201712 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| RandyChampion | 66.3% | 99.5% | 99.5% | 0.0% | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 | 2.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Joe | 21.4% | 21.4% | 98.9% | 0.0% | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Chester | 12.2% | 12.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Pat | 0.2% | 23.1% | 54.4% | 0.0% | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 | 6.4 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Brent | 0.0% | 0.0% | <0.1% | 45.9% | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 | 11.3 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Jack | 0.0% | 43.8% | 84.7% | <0.1% | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 | 4.8 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Marco | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 1.4% | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 | 8.2 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Matt | 0.0% | <0.1% | 34.4% | <0.1% | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 | 7.1 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Mike | 0.0% | 0.0% | 63.8% | <0.1% | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 | 6.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Nate | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 8.3% | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 | 10.1 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Shaun | 0.0% | 0.0% | 47.8% | 0.2% | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 | 6.6 | 8 | -1.4 |
| VinnyMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 44.0% | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 | 11.1 | 10 | +1.1 |
201612 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| JackChampion | 94.3% | 94.3% | 99.8% | 0.0% | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 | 1.3 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Shaun | 2.9% | 60.0% | 98.3% | 0.0% | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 | 3.2 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Chester | 1.6% | 7.4% | 62.5% | 0.5% | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 | 5.9 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Pat | 0.8% | 2.6% | 52.0% | 1.0% | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 | 6.6 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Nate | 0.3% | 13.0% | 98.6% | 0.0% | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 | 2.4 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Vose | 0.1% | 17.0% | 31.3% | 2.9% | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | 7.7 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Marco | <0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 75.5% | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 | 11.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Brent | 0.0% | 0.1% | 18.1% | 3.9% | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 | 8.5 | 11 | -2.5 |
| Joe | 0.0% | 0.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| MattMundane Randy | 0.0% | <0.1% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 | 8.7 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Mike | 0.0% | 4.9% | 41.1% | 3.6% | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 | 7.3 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Vinny | 0.0% | 0.0% | 68.5% | 1.2% | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 | 5.7 | 5 | +0.7 |
201512 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| JoeChampion | 76.2% | 85.5% | 99.7% | 0.0% | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 | 2.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Mike | 10.9% | 10.9% | 38.4% | 1.7% | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 | 7.2 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Vose | 7.0% | 63.5% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 10.7 | 12 | +1.3 | 1.2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Matt | 3.9% | 6.7% | 89.2% | <0.1% | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 | 4.6 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Vinny | 1.4% | 27.1% | 94.3% | <0.1% | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 | 3.9 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Jack | 0.2% | 0.3% | 14.3% | 1.9% | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 | 8.1 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Nate | 0.2% | 0.8% | 94.7% | 0.0% | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Chester | <0.1% | 0.3% | 3.6% | 23.6% | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 | 10.2 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Shaun | <0.1% | 1.3% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 | 9.6 | 11 | -1.4 |
| BrentMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.4% | 48.2% | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 | 10.8 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Marco | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.8 | 7 | +2.2 | 8.9 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Pat | 0.0% | 3.7% | 45.3% | 2.5% | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 | 7.0 | 10 | -3.0 |
201412 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| Mike | 50.7% | 77.6% | 97.7% | 0.0% | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Brent | 30.9% | 31.1% | 42.2% | 0.3% | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Matt | 8.5% | 9.8% | 60.2% | 0.5% | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 | 5.7 | 9 | -3.3 |
| JoeChampion | 4.1% | 5.0% | 23.2% | 1.0% | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 | 8.1 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Vinny | 3.1% | 3.1% | 33.4% | 0.2% | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 | 7.3 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Shaun | 1.6% | 59.6% | 92.3% | 0.0% | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 | 2.9 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Marco | 0.8% | 4.1% | 81.9% | <0.1% | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 | 4.4 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Pat | 0.3% | 1.4% | 70.9% | <0.1% | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 | 5.3 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Vose | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% | 40.6% | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 | 11.3 | 11 | +0.3 |
| IanMundane Randy | <0.1% | <0.1% | 1.1% | 56.5% | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 | 11.3 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Chester | 0.0% | 8.1% | 44.5% | 0.4% | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 | 6.7 | 10 | -3.3 |
| Jack | 0.0% | 0.0% | 52.5% | 0.4% | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 | 6.3 | 6 | +0.3 |
201312 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| Matt | 29.8% | 80.6% | 85.5% | 0.8% | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 | 3.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Joe | 25.8% | 31.5% | 54.6% | 2.6% | 6.3 | 10 | +3.7 | 6.2 | 2 | +4.2 |
| BrentChampion | 18.1% | 18.3% | 60.0% | 2.8% | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 | 5.9 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Chester | 12.9% | 12.9% | 54.9% | 2.3% | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 | 6.2 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Jack | 7.2% | 8.1% | 63.2% | 2.7% | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 | 5.6 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Vose | 3.9% | 4.2% | 91.7% | 0.4% | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 | 2.7 | 1 | +1.7 |
| Marco | 1.5% | 22.4% | 70.6% | 1.6% | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 | 5.0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Ian | 0.5% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 44.0% | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 | 10.3 | 11 | -0.7 |
| Pat | 0.3% | 5.0% | 14.0% | 23.6% | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 | 9.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Shaun | <0.1% | 1.3% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 | 9.0 | 12 | -3.0 |
| Mike | 0.0% | 15.1% | 54.9% | 2.6% | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 | 6.1 | 7 | -0.9 |
| VinnyMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26.2% | 6.6% | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 | 8.1 | 9 | -0.9 |
201212 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| Joe | 39.6% | 48.3% | 93.8% | 0.7% | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 | 3.2 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Jack | 25.3% | 25.3% | 65.2% | 6.0% | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 | 6.9 | 7 | -0.1 |
| VinnyChampion | 19.6% | 75.0% | 95.3% | 0.1% | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 | 4.0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| Ian | 8.0% | 8.4% | 48.9% | 14.6% | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Marco | 6.7% | 9.8% | 69.8% | 4.9% | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 | 6.7 | 10 | -3.3 |
| PatMundane Randy | 0.4% | 5.9% | 46.9% | 15.3% | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 | 8.2 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Matt | 0.2% | 6.1% | 29.5% | 23.2% | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | 9.4 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Brent | 0.2% | 2.4% | 89.3% | 1.0% | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 | 4.6 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Mike | <0.1% | 1.1% | 60.6% | 8.4% | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 | 7.3 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Chester | 0.0% | 17.6% | 79.0% | 3.3% | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 | 5.6 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Shaun | 0.0% | 0.0% | 85.4% | 1.5% | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 | 5.3 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Vose | 0.0% | 0.0% | 36.3% | 20.8% | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 | 8.9 | 11 | -2.1 |
201112 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| PatChampion | 67.3% | 90.8% | 96.7% | 0.2% | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 | 3.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Brent | 21.2% | 21.2% | 92.3% | 0.5% | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 | 4.6 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Ian | 3.6% | 19.0% | 89.7% | 0.6% | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 | 5.7 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Shaun | 3.5% | 3.5% | 28.8% | 20.1% | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 | 9.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Vinny | 1.8% | 13.5% | 64.9% | 5.1% | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 | 7.6 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Chester | 1.8% | 13.1% | 31.6% | 13.1% | 5.1 | 2 | -3.1 | 9.3 | 12 | -2.7 |
| Mike | 0.7% | 0.7% | 99.7% | <0.1% | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Matt | 0.2% | 31.4% | 96.1% | 0.3% | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 | 4.1 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Jack | 0.0% | 0.0% | 52.9% | 6.0% | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 | 8.3 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Joe | 0.0% | 1.4% | 21.5% | 36.1% | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 | 10.1 | 8 | +2.1 |
| MarcoMundane Randy | 0.0% | 5.5% | 29.3% | 17.9% | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 | 9.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Vose | 0.0% | 0.0% | 96.6% | 0.1% | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 | 4.1 | 5 | -0.9 |
201010 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| VinnyChampion | 40.0% | 57.0% | 72.0% | 9.8% | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 | 7.1 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Pat | 31.6% | 31.6% | 99.8% | <0.1% | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 | 2.2 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Jack | 19.8% | 19.8% | 99.6% | <0.1% | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 | 3.1 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Brent | 7.2% | 75.9% | 98.9% | <0.1% | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 | 3.4 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Marco | 1.5% | 1.5% | 98.9% | 0.2% | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| MikeMundane Randy | <0.1% | 1.7% | 77.9% | 3.5% | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 | 7.2 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Joe | 0.0% | 12.3% | 65.3% | 6.9% | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 | 7.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Matt | 0.0% | 0.2% | 8.7% | 74.1% | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 | 9.6 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Shaun | 0.0% | 0.0% | 98.5% | 0.2% | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 | 4.2 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Vose | 0.0% | 0.0% | 80.4% | 5.2% | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 | 6.6 | 7 | -0.4 |
200910 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| Joe | 57.9% | 77.1% | 99.5% | <0.1% | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 | 2.6 | 1 | +1.6 |
| ShaunChampion | 29.0% | 29.0% | 99.6% | <0.1% | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Matt | 12.5% | 57.8% | 97.8% | 0.5% | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 | 4.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Mike | 0.4% | 23.2% | 91.5% | 1.8% | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 | 6.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Jack | 0.2% | 8.4% | 92.3% | 2.4% | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 | 5.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Ian | 0.0% | 0.1% | 36.7% | 32.9% | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 | 8.6 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Marco | 0.0% | 3.5% | 82.9% | 6.6% | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 | 6.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Pat | 0.0% | 0.0% | 91.0% | 2.1% | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 | 5.6 | 3 | +2.6 |
| PookieMundane Randy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 37.1% | 41.2% | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 | 8.4 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Vose | 0.0% | 0.7% | 71.5% | 12.2% | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 | 6.8 | 8 | -1.2 |
200810 owners
| Owner | Alt. Title Rate | Finals Odds | Playoff Odds | Worst-Record Odds | Mean Wins | Actual Wins | Win Luck | Expected Seed | Actual Seed | Seed Luck |
|---|
| VoseChampion | 31.2% | 38.7% | 87.1% | 0.9% | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 | 7.2 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Joe | 30.3% | 30.3% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 | 3.7 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Shaun | 25.1% | 73.9% | 99.3% | <0.1% | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 | 5.0 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Ian | 12.3% | 18.9% | 77.2% | 1.3% | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 | 7.8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Pat | 1.1% | 27.5% | 98.9% | <0.1% | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 | 5.8 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Jack | <0.1% | 0.2% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | +0.7 |
| MarcoMundane Randy | 0.0% | 1.2% | 35.9% | 7.3% | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 | 8.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Matt | 0.0% | 9.4% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 | 2.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Mike | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 | 3.2 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Pookie | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.7% | 90.6% | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 | 9.9 | 10 | -0.1 |
