Seed	Owner	Team	Record	PF	PA	Finish	PF+	Luck	Alt. Title Rate
1	Vose	Turtle Creek Totemscrotums	10-3	1265.00	1114.00	Playoffs (eliminated)	108.7	1.6	3.9%
2	Joe	I am Ryan Griffindor	10-3	1234.00	974.00	Runner-Up	106.0	3.7	25.8%
3	Marco	Krajcir-Watts Talent Agency	9-4	1203.00	1103.00	Playoffs (eliminated)	103.3	1.9	1.5%
4	Matt	The Dirty Burger	8-5	1227.00	1105.00	Playoffs (eliminated)	105.4	0.0	29.8%
5	Brent	J-RoC ft. Slimm SHADYY!	7-6	1175.00	1249.00	Champion	100.9	0.2	18.1%
6	Jack	Peace Randy	6-7	1181.00	1187.00	Playoffs (eliminated)	101.4	-0.9	7.2%
7	Mike	THAT'S THE CAT'S ASS	6-7	1175.00	1121.00	Missed Playoffs	100.9	-0.7	0.0%
8	Chester	Team lomanto	6-7	1173.00	1147.00	Missed Playoffs	100.8	-0.7	12.9%
9	Vinny	Weeden start The fire	5-8	1149.00	1413.00	Mundane Randy	98.7	-0.9	0.0%
10	Pat	Say No To Drug ..Tests	4-9	1054.00	1215.00	Missed Playoffs	90.5	-1.1	0.3%
11	Ian	Geno Smith the TurnoverMachine	4-9	1003.00	1199.00	Missed Playoffs	86.2	-0.6	0.5%
12	Shaun	The Cellar Dwellers	3-10	1131.00	1143.00	Missed Playoffs	97.2	-2.5	<0.1%

Advanced standings

Owner	All-Play	xWins	Luck	Lineup Eff	Boom	Bust	Expected Seed	Seed Luck
Vose	64.7%	8.4	1.6	—	7.7%	7.7%	2.7	1.7
Joe	48.6%	6.3	3.7	—	23.1%	0.0%	6.2	4.2
Marco	54.9%	7.1	1.9	—	15.4%	7.7%	5.0	2.0
Matt	61.2%	8.0	0.0	—	15.4%	7.7%	3.5	-0.5
Brent	52.1%	6.8	0.2	—	7.7%	23.1%	5.9	0.9
Jack	52.8%	6.9	-0.9	—	7.7%	7.7%	5.6	-0.4
Mike	51.7%	6.7	-0.7	—	15.4%	15.4%	6.1	-0.9
Chester	51.7%	6.7	-0.7	—	15.4%	23.1%	6.2	-1.8
Vinny	45.1%	5.9	-0.9	—	7.7%	7.7%	8.1	-0.9
Pat	39.2%	5.1	-1.1	—	23.1%	30.8%	9.5	-0.5
Ian	35.7%	4.6	-0.6	—	0.0%	38.5%	10.3	-0.7
Shaun	42.3%	5.5	-2.5	—	23.1%	30.8%	9.0	-3.0

Playoffs

Quarterfinals

2Joe

Bye

Bye

Semifinals

Final

Consolation Results

Consolation teams are reseeded each round, so results are grouped by round.

Round 1

Round 2

Final

The Race

Odds after every week, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.

Seed	Owner	Pre	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Rd 1	Semis	Finish
1	Vose	51	34	48	63	74	69	79	91	86	95	99	100	100	100	100	100	8	5	7	11	12	12	13	19	15	18	20	21	27	28	29	0	Playoffs (eliminated)
2	Joe	50	56	60	70	83	88	96	95	>99	>99	100	100	100	100	100	100	9	9	9	10	13	14	20	19	25	22	21	26	27	26	26	52	Runner-Up
3	Marco	49	62	70	86	96	91	87	91	97	99	100	100	100	100	100	100	8	11	13	18	24	22	18	18	20	23	24	17	12	13	23	0	Playoffs (eliminated)
4	Matt	49	61	52	37	23	29	38	57	47	35	50	69	98	100	100	100	8	10	9	6	3	4	5	8	6	4	6	8	12	13	0	0	Playoffs (eliminated)
5	Brent	50	33	43	37	49	58	47	64	42	53	74	94	89	100	100	100	8	5	6	5	6	9	7	9	5	6	9	12	9	10	22	48	Champion
6	Jack	49	37	23	36	23	14	20	15	24	30	16	33	12	100	100	100	9	5	3	5	3	2	2	2	3	4	2	4	1	11	0	0	Playoffs (eliminated)
7	Mike	51	63	52	60	79	62	75	55	40	62	49	28	52	0	0	0	8	11	9	9	14	10	12	7	5	8	6	3	6	0	0	0	Missed Playoffs
8	Chester	50	73	65	72	57	42	29	50	66	37	57	32	46	0	0	0	8	15	14	14	9	6	4	8	10	5	7	4	5	0	0	0	Missed Playoffs
9	Vinny	50	62	47	35	49	64	47	33	48	69	50	43	4	0	0	0	8	10	7	5	7	10	7	4	6	9	6	5	<1	0	0	0	Mundane Randy
10	Pat	51	42	31	20	10	3	1	2	<1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	7	5	3	1	<1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	Missed Playoffs
11	Ian	50	34	44	32	27	33	50	32	43	19	4	<1	0	0	0	0	8	5	6	5	4	4	7	4	5	2	<1	0	0	0	0	0	Missed Playoffs
12	Shaun	50	42	66	51	30	46	32	16	6	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	7	13	9	4	7	5	2	1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	0	Missed Playoffs

Each week’s odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, with team strength set by scoring to date and weighted toward the league average until the sample grows. Backtested on every week since 2013: teams given 70–80% made the playoffs 74% of the time.

Week-by-Week Results

Wk	Vose	Joe	Marco	Matt	Brent	Jack	Mike	Chester	Vinny	Pat	Ian	Shaun
1	L81.00	W95.00	W113.00	W108.00	L78.00	L88.00	W115.00	W151.00	W112.00	L104.00	L79.00	L107.00
2	W106.00	W73.00	W88.00	L91.00	W93.00	L71.00	L84.00	L93.00	L74.00	L89.00	W99.00	W140.00
3	W97.00	W77.00	W118.00	L71.00	L91.00	W102.00	W79.00	W71.00	L65.00	L68.00	L71.00	L60.00
4	W105.00	W108.00	W139.00	L71.00	W105.00	L83.00	W131.00	L70.00	W111.00	L71.00	L110.00	L61.00
5	L108.00	W75.00	L79.00	W94.00	W88.00	L94.00	L64.00	L88.00	W109.00	L75.00	W89.00	W120.00
6	W77.00	W134.00	L76.00	W78.00	L79.00	W84.00	W90.00	L80.00	L64.00	L53.00	W99.00	L78.00
7	W107.00	L90.00	W63.00	W108.00	W106.00	L104.00	L57.00	W123.00	L86.00	W111.00	L72.00	L57.00
8	L82.00	W143.00	W95.00	L87.00	L47.00	W93.00	L72.00	W90.00	W90.00	L62.00	W78.00	L72.00
9	W101.00	L73.00	W100.00	L107.00	W99.00	W93.00	W119.00	L60.00	W122.00	L24.00	L65.00	L82.00
10	W102.00	W69.00	W93.00	W92.00	W112.00	L82.00	L96.00	W102.00	L74.00	L81.00	L36.00	L62.00
11	W88.00	W122.00	L68.00	W81.00	W105.00	W98.00	L77.00	L67.00	L101.00	W110.00	L53.00	L78.00
12	W107.00	W89.00	L67.00	W116.00	L61.00	L101.00	W95.00	W80.00	L57.00	W106.00	L65.00	L82.00
13	W104.00	L86.00	W104.00	W123.00	L111.00	W88.00	L96.00	L98.00	L84.00	W100.00	L87.00	W132.00
14	BYE	BYE	W83.00	L128.00	W152.00	L71.00	L91.00	W97.00	W107.00	L105.00	W77.00	L76.00
15	L65.00	W108.00	L108.00	W158.00	W73.00	L94.00	W101.00	W93.00	L54.00	W105.00	L77.00	L98.00
16	W91.00	L91.00	L81.00	L88.00	W114.00	W92.00	L61.00	W126.00	L85.00	W63.00	W91.00	L63.00