Seed	Owner	Team	Record	PF	PA	Finish	PF+	Luck	Alt. Title Rate
1	Pookie	Cuckholds .	11-3	1952.00	1596.56	Runner-Up	119.6	0.6	5.3%
2	Matt	Stupid	11-3	1802.64	1492.28	Playoffs (eliminated)	110.4	2.5	0.0%
3	Pat	Rock Anich Anus Stretchers	10-4	1819.86	1699.82	Playoffs (eliminated)	111.5	0.5	25.9%
4	Worm	Yoshi's Chapstick	9-5	1635.54	1573.04	Playoffs (eliminated)	100.2	2.1	22.4%
5	Jack	Pk Won The Draft Again	7-7	1629.52	1712.58	Playoffs (eliminated)	99.8	0.4	11.7%
6	Chester	Team Lomanto	7-7	1621.64	1485.60	Champion	99.3	0.0	25.1%
7	Shaun	Mississippi Moon Crickets	6-8	1628.30	1659.48	Mundane Randy	99.7	-1.5	0.0%
8	Marco	Gist Stoolie	5-9	1612.32	1707.74	Missed Playoffs	98.8	-2.1	0.0%
9	Nate	Dogg's gon' Dog	5-9	1608.06	1632.46	Missed Playoffs	98.5	-1.3	8.8%
10	Vinny	Rodgers' Anti Vax Army	5-9	1502.80	1527.60	Missed Playoffs	92.1	-0.3	0.8%
11	Joe	Jonesin'2Mastor BatemanMyHamler	5-9	1367.88	1641.72	Missed Playoffs	83.8	0.4	0.0%
12	Randy	Pooey Puddin'	3-11	1408.72	1860.40	Missed Playoffs	86.3	-1.3	0.0%

Advanced standings

Owner	All-Play	xWins	Luck	Lineup Eff	Boom	Bust	Expected Seed	Seed Luck	Vs. Proj.
Pookie	74.0%	10.4	0.6	92.2%	50.0%	7.1%	1.5	0.5	+163.0
Matt	61.0%	8.5	2.5	89.6%	21.4%	0.0%	3.8	1.8	+39.9
Pat	67.5%	9.5	0.5	89.1%	21.4%	7.1%	2.5	-0.5	+98.3
Worm	49.4%	6.9	2.1	85.8%	21.4%	14.3%	6.1	2.1	-84.1
Jack	47.4%	6.6	0.4	87.3%	14.3%	21.4%	6.7	1.7	+16.5
Chester	50.0%	7.0	0.0	89.8%	14.3%	14.3%	6.5	0.5	-102.8
Shaun	53.9%	7.5	-1.5	87.5%	7.1%	14.3%	5.5	-1.5	-19.9
Marco	50.6%	7.1	-2.1	87.2%	14.3%	28.6%	6.6	-1.4	+31.2
Nate	44.8%	6.3	-1.3	84.8%	7.1%	7.1%	8.0	-1.0	-34.2
Vinny	37.7%	5.3	-0.3	87.0%	7.1%	21.4%	9.4	-0.6	-48.6
Joe	33.1%	4.6	0.4	83.4%	0.0%	42.9%	10.7	-0.3	-206.3
Randy	30.5%	4.3	-1.3	86.6%	0.0%	35.7%	10.8	-1.2	-161.3

Where the wins came from

Owner	Wins +/-	Draft	Waivers	Trades	Lineup	Luck	Other
Matt	+4.0	-0.5	+1.1	+0.8	+0.2	+2.5	-0.1
Pookie	+4.0	+3.4	-0.3	-0.1	+0.8	+0.6	-0.5
Pat	+3.0	+1.5	+0.7	-0.1	+0.1	+0.5	+0.3
Worm	+2.0	+1.1	-0.4	-0.1	-0.5	+2.1	-0.1
Chester	+0.0	+0.8	-1.1	-0.1	+0.5	+0.0	-0.0
Jack	+0.0	-0.5	+0.7	-0.1	-0.1	+0.4	-0.4
Shaun	-1.0	+0.5	-0.3	-0.1	-0.0	-1.5	+0.6
Joe	-2.0	-3.4	+0.9	-0.1	-0.5	+0.4	+0.7
Marco	-2.0	-1.4	+1.4	-0.1	-0.1	-2.1	+0.2
Nate	-2.0	+1.0	-0.7	-0.1	-0.7	-1.3	-0.3
Vinny	-2.0	-0.9	-1.1	+0.5	+0.1	-0.3	-0.3
Randy	-4.0	-1.6	-1.0	-0.1	+0.1	-1.3	-0.1

In wins. See Where Wins Come From.

Biggest Upsets

Wk	Winner	Pregame	Score	Loser
6	Joe	29%	108.50–72.94	Vinny
9	Chester	32%	132.44–125.26	Nate
7	Vinny	32%	106.76–104.42	Chester
10	Marco	33%	113.00–110.84	Chester
4	Worm	34%	169.00–57.96	Joe

Playoffs

Quarterfinals

Bye

Bye

Semifinals

Final

Losers Bracket

Seeds 7–12 play a reverse-elimination bracket: losing advances a team toward the Consolation Final, whose loser becomes Mundane Randy.

Round 1

7Shaun80.10advances ↓

8Marco104.82

9Nate137.18

10Vinny88.84advances ↓

11Joe59.48

12Randy107.60

Placement game, no bracket meaning

Round 2

7Shaun54.18advances ↓

Filler, already escaped

Consolation Final

Filler, already escaped

9Nate128.58

10Vinny125.66

Filler, already escaped

Round 1 paired seeds 7v8 and 9v10 instead of the usual 7v10 and 8v9.

Placement Games

Games among eliminated playoff teams determine third through sixth place.

Round 2

Final

The Race

Odds after every week, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.

Seed	Owner	Pre	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Rd 1	Semis	Finish
1	Pookie	51	61	53	71	84	95	99	>99	99	99	>99	100	100	100	100	100	100	8	10	9	13	17	23	26	32	26	22	25	27	29	31	34	36	62	9	6	7	3	2	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	—	—	Runner-Up
2	Matt	51	58	55	63	76	81	94	97	99	>99	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	8	10	9	10	12	12	15	17	21	28	28	27	25	23	25	28	0	8	7	7	5	3	2	1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	Playoffs (eliminated)
3	Pat	49	64	78	87	93	97	93	91	96	99	99	100	100	100	100	100	100	8	11	15	18	21	22	16	14	17	16	14	16	16	19	15	0	0	9	5	3	2	1	<1	1	1	<1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	—	—	Playoffs (eliminated)
4	Worm	50	32	39	48	68	54	41	60	77	89	98	100	100	100	100	100	100	9	5	5	6	10	6	4	6	9	9	13	12	12	9	9	0	0	8	13	11	9	4	6	8	4	2	1	<1	0	0	0	0	—	—	Playoffs (eliminated)
5	Jack	50	61	68	52	63	53	73	64	50	42	66	50	76	59	100	100	100	8	10	11	7	8	6	9	7	6	4	7	4	6	4	9	18	0	9	6	5	8	5	6	3	4	5	5	3	5	3	5	0	—	—	Playoffs (eliminated)
6	Chester	50	66	77	87	78	89	95	93	87	97	94	88	66	69	100	100	100	8	13	15	18	13	16	19	15	12	14	12	8	6	6	8	19	38	8	5	3	1	2	1	<1	1	1	<1	1	1	3	3	0	—	—	Champion
7	Shaun	49	47	60	48	32	39	32	17	6	12	5	22	41	72	0	0	0	8	8	11	7	4	5	4	2	1	1	<1	2	4	8	0	0	0	8	8	5	7	10	7	8	10	13	9	11	7	5	2	8	—	—	Mundane Randy
8	Marco	49	65	48	39	28	15	8	2	5	1	1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	8	12	7	5	4	1	1	<1	1	<1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	9	5	8	10	10	13	15	19	13	19	17	19	19	13	9	—	—	Missed Playoffs
9	Nate	51	37	28	17	9	4	7	14	16	11	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	9	6	4	3	1	<1	1	1	2	1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	8	11	13	16	18	19	16	11	9	10	12	15	16	18	9	—	—	Missed Playoffs
10	Vinny	50	34	45	33	43	63	45	56	64	49	31	22	7	<1	0	0	0	8	5	7	4	5	8	5	5	6	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	9	12	9	11	8	4	6	5	4	6	8	9	11	13	14	—	—	Missed Playoffs
11	Joe	51	40	31	43	20	9	12	4	1	2	4	17	9	0	0	0	0	8	6	5	6	2	1	1	<1	<1	<1	<1	1	<1	0	0	0	0	8	10	11	9	15	17	15	22	26	23	18	13	14	17	31	—	—	Missed Playoffs
12	Randy	50	35	18	12	6	2	1	1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	5	2	1	1	<1	<1	<1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	13	18	19	22	24	25	22	26	27	30	30	29	30	28	—	—	Missed Playoffs

Each week’s odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, with team strength set by scoring to date and weighted toward the league average until the sample grows. Backtested on every week since 2013: teams given 70–80% made the playoffs 74% of the time.

Week-by-Week Results

Wk	Pookie	Matt	Pat	Worm	Jack	Chester	Shaun	Marco	Nate	Vinny	Joe	Randy
1	W129.78	W116.36	W138.62	L78.96	W132.60	W151.80	L139.62	W141.36	L101.38	L85.30	L111.42	L88.32
2	L120.38	L138.78	W157.42	W119.56	W111.90	W140.40	W146.48	L91.30	L119.30	W138.56	L125.92	L79.66
3	W160.70	W120.14	W127.60	W112.88	L81.50	W139.28	L102.76	L112.38	L94.76	L100.50	W126.52	L109.00
4	W153.42	W144.00	W148.76	W169.00	W123.86	L100.56	L92.18	L121.90	L110.76	W126.24	L57.96	L106.58
5	W200.66	W107.80	W141.96	L91.42	L105.76	W145.08	W116.30	L84.76	L94.84	W163.78	L70.66	L77.28
6	W128.06	W145.60	L51.50	L82.96	W135.00	W113.82	L115.38	L96.08	W126.82	L72.94	W108.50	L104.40
7	W173.88	W114.88	L119.02	W139.42	L117.84	L104.42	L89.66	L70.80	W141.10	W106.76	L57.90	W129.44
8	L72.62	W170.90	W153.50	W174.26	L148.68	L123.04	L120.94	W181.34	W134.70	W115.76	L80.92	L94.44
9	L130.00	W195.22	W110.02	W110.70	L109.48	W132.44	W127.20	L59.60	L125.26	L71.74	W95.12	L90.44
10	W118.50	W107.98	L110.20	W149.44	W140.00	L110.84	L107.52	W113.00	L91.82	L119.36	W141.80	L77.46
11	W151.78	W109.02	W144.76	W104.10	L72.50	L71.46	W152.82	L121.58	L84.34	L97.28	W141.16	L117.20
12	W161.12	L120.84	W126.52	W122.76	W124.60	L88.40	W134.04	L126.72	L113.14	L126.20	L91.16	W96.00
13	W102.82	L116.46	W154.90	L99.10	L76.90	L97.42	W131.94	W163.54	W108.84	L89.10	L100.84	W115.64
14	W148.28	W94.66	L135.08	L80.98	W148.90	W102.68	L51.46	W127.96	W161.00	L89.28	L58.00	L122.86
15	BYE	BYE	L159.80	L108.82	W125.46	W186.34	L80.10	W104.82	W137.18	L88.84	L59.48	W107.60
16	W121.78	L84.16	L97.86	W133.50	L110.40	W158.06	L54.18	W115.40	L98.84	W101.62	L92.70	W101.50
17	L107.90	L86.80	L125.32	W129.28	W109.30	W108.52	L73.20	W104.22	W128.58	L125.66	W84.90	L64.50