Home / Elo

League Analysis

Elo Ratings

Every owner starts at 1500. Every REG/PLAY/CONS game moves both teams' ratings by K=32 times the gap between the actual result and what a 1-in-(1+10^(−Δ/400)) expected-win model predicted — a blowout against a lower-rated team barely moves the needle, but an upset swings it hard. At each season boundary (including seasons an owner sat out), ratings regress a third of the way back toward 1500, so a hot or cold run from three years ago matters less than last season's.

Rating History

Continuous week axis across every season played — dashed vertical lines mark each new season, the dashed horizontal line is the 1500 baseline. Top 6 by final rating shown by default; toggle owners below. Hover any point for the exact week and rating.

Season Summary